Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina — Prediction
27/04/2026•22:10
#27
Anastasia Potapova
2:0
7•6
2•1
2nd Set
#1
Elena Rybakina
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Anastasia Potapova faces Elena Rybakina at the Madrid Open. Rybakina is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.14, while Potapova is the underdog at 5.53. Rybakina has a 90% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to Potapova's 70%. The match is played on clay, a surface Rybakina handles well.
Our predictions
Victory for Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina is the logical favorite with very low odds. She has won 90% of her last 10 matches and 100% of her matches as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Potapova, while solid, has only a 70% win rate and has not beaten a player of this caliber recently.
1.14
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Rybakina wins 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Potapova as an underdog has lost 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is high, making the 'under 2.5 sets' bet very relevant.
1.31
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Rybakina tends to finish matches quickly, with 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Potapova, as an underdog, could lose in straight sets. Rybakina's expected dominance should limit the number of games.
1.42
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 57% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 71% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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