Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreeva — Prediction
28/04/2026•13:10
#22
Leylah Fernandez
0:2
6•7
3•6
Finished
#6
Mirra Andreeva
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Leylah Fernandez faces Mirra Andreeva at the Madrid Open. Andreeva is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.38, while Fernandez is at 3.01. Andreeva has won 90% of her last 10 matches, compared to 70% for Fernandez.
Our predictions
Victory for Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva is in excellent form with 90% wins in her last 10 matches. She also has a 100% win rate when favored. Fernandez, while solid, has only 70% wins and has lost 30% of her matches. The odds of 1.38 reflect Andreeva's dominance.
1.38
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Andreeva has 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Fernandez 50% as underdog. The trend is towards a two-set match, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets. The odds of 1.38 are attractive for this scenario.
1.45
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Andreeva, as favorite, often wins her matches in two sets (60% of her non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets). Fernandez, as underdog, has 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The likelihood of a close match is low, favoring a total games under 22.5.
1.55
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 71% | 0% |
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