Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Binda — Prediction

Petr Bar Biryukov is the favorite and has a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Binda. Additionally, Bar Biryukov has a good record as a favorite (50% wins) and has won 40% of his matches as an underdog, showing some versatility. Binda, despite a good win rate as a favorite (66.67%), has a low overall win rate (30%) and has lost 70% of his matches. The odds of 1.74 reflect an advantage for Bar Biryukov.

Binda has a very high rate of 2-set matches (80% overall, 90% as an underdog). Bar Biryukov has a 50% rate of 2-set matches, but as a favorite, this rate rises to 80%. Both players tend to finish matches quickly, especially Binda. The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (see previous bet), the total number of games should be under 22.5. In 2 sets, the maximum games is 24 (6-7, 6-7), but the average is generally lower. Both players tend to play tight sets or dominate, limiting the number of games. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 sets' bet.