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Tennis

Tereza Valentova - Claire Liu: our prediction

29/04/2026•12:55

#42

Tereza Valentova

2:1

6•4

2•6

6•2

Finished

#65

Claire Liu

Tereza Valentova vs Claire Liu Preview — Saint-Malo

Match of the WTA tournament in Saint-Malo between Tereza Valentova and Claire Liu. Valentova is the favorite with odds of 1.14, while Liu is the underdog at 5.21. Both players have a record of 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. Valentova has a 70% win rate as a favorite but has lost at least one set in 60% of her matches as a favorite. Liu, as an underdog, has won 60% of her matches and has won at least one set in 80% of her matches as an underdog.

Our Tereza Valentova vs Claire Liu predictions

Victory of Tereza Valentova

Valentova is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.14. She has a 70% win rate as a favorite, which is solid. Liu, although strong as an underdog, has a 60% win rate in that role, but Valentova remains the stronger player on paper. Confidence is high but not very high because Valentova tends to lose sets.

1.15

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Valentova has lost at least one set in 60% of her matches as a favorite, and Liu has won at least one set in 80% of her matches as an underdog. This suggests the match could be tight and go to 3 sets. Furthermore, Liu has a 70% rate of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams), while Valentova has 40%. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore high.

3.1

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Although the match could go to 3 sets, it is possible that the sets are tight and the total number of games stays under 22.5. Valentova has a 60% rate of 2-set matches (outside Grand Slams), suggesting she can win quickly. However, Liu's tendency to push matches to 3 sets makes this bet less certain. Confidence is therefore medium.

1.36

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Tereza Valentova vs Claire Liu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tereza Valentova vs Claire Liu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tereza Valentova	Claire Liu
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	42%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	80%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	80%