Grigor Dimitrov vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction
29/04/2026•15:20
#6
Grigor Dimitrov
0:2
3•6
4•6
Finished
#161
Pol Martin Tiffon
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Grigor Dimitrov, the favorite, faces Pol Martin Tiffon in Aix en Provence. Dimitrov is much higher ranked and more experienced, but Tiffon has shown good recent form as an underdog. The match is on clay, Dimitrov's preferred surface.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Dimitrov wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets when he is the favorite. Tiffon, as an underdog, has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, making the 'under 2.5 sets' bet very relevant.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Dimitrov tends to finish matches quickly as a favorite (70% of his matches end in 2 sets). Tiffon, on the other hand, has 90% of his matches in 2 sets when he is the favorite, but here he is the underdog. The combination of Dimitrov's expected dominance and Tiffon's tendency to lose quickly against higher-ranked opponents suggests a match with under 22.5 games.
1.74
Confidence
High
Victory for Grigor Dimitrov
Dimitrov is the logical favorite with odds of 1.29. He is higher ranked, more experienced, and plays on his preferred surface (clay). Statistics show he wins 60% of his matches as a favorite. Tiffon, although in form, has a win rate of only 50% as an underdog.
1.3
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 80% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 20% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 57% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 42% |
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