Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev — Prediction
30/04/2026
#11
Flavio Cobolli
20:00
Today
#2
Alexander Zverev
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev. Zverev is the favorite, but Cobolli has shown good recent form.
Our predictions
Alexander Zverev Victory
Zverev is significantly better ranked and has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches. Cobolli, while solid, has a 70% rate and is the underdog. Zverev is favored and performs well on clay.
1.3
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Zverev often wins in 2 sets (50% outside Grand Slams). Cobolli frequently loses in 2 sets as an underdog (70%). This match should end in 2 sets, so under 2.5 sets.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Zverev tends to win quickly in 2 sets (50% of his non-Grand Slam matches). Cobolli, as an underdog, could lose in 2 sets (70% of his matches in 2 sets when underdog). A 2-set match usually implies fewer than 22.5 games.
2.1
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 100% |
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