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Ognjen Milic vs Fajing Sun — Prediction

30/04/202606:10
Ognjen Milic
#341
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Ognjen Milic

0:2
46
16
Finished
Fajing Sun
#213
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Fajing Sun

-
1
-
X
-
2

Match Preview

Match of the Jiujiang tournament between Ognjen Milic and Fajing Sun. Sun is the favorite with odds at 1.62 and an impressive recent form (90% wins). Milic, underdog, has a 66.67% win rate but will need to raise his level to trouble Sun.

Our predictions

Victory of Fajing Sun
Fajing Sun is the logical favorite with odds at 1.62. He boasts a 90% win rate in his last 10 matches and 90% wins when favored. Milic, while solid, has a 66.67% win rate and only 50% wins as an underdog. Sun's recent form and consistency make him the safest pick.
1.6
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of a 2-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A typical 2-set match has between 18 and 22 games. Sun, as the dominant favorite, should control the match and limit the number of games.
1.75
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Sun has finished 70% of his matches in 2 sets (non-Grand Slam) and 80% when favored. Milic has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. Sun's tendency to win quickly, combined with his favorite status, makes a 2-set match likely. The odds for under 2.5 sets are attractive.
1.52
Confidence
High

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