Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Prediction
30/04/2026
#7
Alex Michelsen
14:00
Today
#161
Pol Martin Tiffon
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X
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2
Match Preview
Alex Michelsen, the favorite, faces Pol Martin Tiffon in Aix en Provence. Michelsen has an 80% win rate as a favorite, while Tiffon has a 60% win rate as a favorite. Both players have 70% of their matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams. Michelsen tends to lose a set as a favorite (60%), which could extend the match.
Our predictions
Victory for Alex Michelsen
Michelsen is the favorite with odds of 1.41 and has an 80% win rate as a favorite. Tiffon has a 60% win rate as a favorite, but is the underdog here. Statistics clearly favor Michelsen.
1.41
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have 70% of their matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams. Michelsen has a 50% chance of winning in 2 sets as a favorite, and Tiffon has a 90% chance of losing in 2 sets as a favorite. A 2-set match is therefore likely.
1.57
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games
Both players have 70% of their matches outside Grand Slams in 2 sets, suggesting short matches. Although Michelsen sometimes loses a set, Tiffon has 90% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite. A tight 2-set match could stay under 22.5 games.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 57% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 85% | 42% |
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