Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi — Prediction
30/04/2026
#64
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
12:30
Today
#38
Matteo Arnaldi
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X
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Match Preview
Match of the Cagliari tournament between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matteo Arnaldi. Cerundolo is the favorite with odds of 1.48, while Arnaldi is the underdog at 2.49. Cerundolo has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 20% for Arnaldi. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics show that Cerundolo performs better as a favorite (70% wins) while Arnaldi struggles as an underdog (10% wins).
Our predictions
Victory of Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Cerundolo is the favorite with odds of 1.48 and has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 20% for Arnaldi. As a favorite, Cerundolo wins 70% of his matches, while Arnaldi only wins 10% as an underdog. Recent form and win statistics clearly favor Cerundolo.
1.48
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Arnaldi, as an underdog, tends to push matches to 3 sets: 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches end in 3 sets, and Cerundolo loses a set in 60% of his matches as a favorite. The combination suggests a tight match with over 2.5 sets.
2.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, Cerundolo's statistics as a favorite show that 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets, limiting the total number of games. Additionally, Arnaldi has a low win rate (20%), which could lead to quick sets. The total games could stay under 22.5.
1.76
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 2 8 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 55% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
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