Keegan Smith vs Alex Bolt — Prediction

Alex Bolt is the favorite with odds of 1.43. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, and 80% when he is the favorite. Keegan Smith, on the other hand, has only a 40% win rate and 30% when he is the underdog. Bolt is clearly in better form and should win.

Given that the match is expected to be played in 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), it is likely that the total number of games will exceed 22.5. Both players tend to play close matches, especially Smith who, as an underdog, often manages to win a set. A tight 3-set match usually exceeds 22.5 games.

Keegan Smith tends to play matches in 3 sets (80% of his matches end in 3 sets). Additionally, Bolt has lost at least one set in 40% of his matches as a favorite. Smith, as an underdog, has won at least one set in 60% of his matches. It is therefore likely that the match will go over 2.5 sets.