Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneau — Prediction
01/05/2026•06:55
#89
Adam Walton
2:0
6•1
3•0
2nd Set
#109
Alexis Galarneau
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Adam Walton faces Alexis Galarneau in Jiujiang. Walton is the favorite with odds of 1.58, but Galarneau has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches. The match promises to be tight, with a tendency to be decided in 2 sets.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets
Statistics show a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets. For Walton, 60% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) end in 2 sets, and 70% for Galarneau. When they are favorites, Galarneau finishes in 2 sets in 70% of cases. The match should therefore be decided in 2 sets.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability that the match will end in 2 sets (as indicated above), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A typical 2-set match (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games, which is below the threshold. Even a 7-6, 6-4 gives 23 games, but the general trend is towards tight and quick matches.
1.86
Confidence
Medium
Victory of Alexis Galarneau
Although Walton is the favorite, Galarneau has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Walton. Additionally, Galarneau has a good record as an outsider (50% wins) and has won at least one set in 70% of his matches as an outsider. The odds of 2.25 are attractive.
2.24
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 62% |
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