Miguel Damas vs Jaime Faria — Prediction
01/05/2026

#27

Miguel Damas
11:30
Today

#70

Jaime Faria
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Jaime Faria, the favorite, faces Miguel Damas in Mauthausen. Faria has a 60% win rate and is favored at 1.31, while Damas has a 40% win rate and is the underdog at 3.2. Faria's matches tend to go to 3 sets (70% in non-Grand Slams), while Damas finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets. No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Jaime Faria to win
Jaime Faria is the logical favorite with odds of 1.31. He has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, and when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, he wins 57% of the time. Damas, as an underdog with similar odds, only wins 28.6% of his matches. Recent form and favorite status favor Faria.
1.31
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show Faria has 70% of his matches in 3 sets outside of Grand Slams, and Damas 40%. Additionally, Damas tends to lose at least one set when an underdog (70% of his matches). The combination suggests a tight match that could go to 3 sets.
2.55
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games could exceed 22.5. A match with 3 tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4) totals 30 games, well above the threshold. Even a 7-6, 6-4 gives 23 games. Faria's tendency to play long matches reinforces this option.
2.11
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 71% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 28% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 42% | 0% |
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