Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper De Jong — Prediction
01/05/2026
#169
Gianluca Cadenasso
13:30
Today
#109
Jesper de Jong
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Match of the Cagliari tournament between Gianluca Cadenasso and Jesper de Jong. Cadenasso is the favorite with odds at 1.51, backed by 80% wins as favorite. De Jong, underdog at 2.4, has a 40% overall win rate but shows resilience in sets.
Our predictions
Victory of Gianluca Cadenasso
Cadenasso is the favorite with odds of 1.51. He has won 80% of his matches as favorite and 70% overall. De Jong has won only 40% of his matches and 60% as favorite. Cadenasso is in better form.
2.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
De Jong tends to play tight matches: 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) ended in 3 sets, and 80% as favorite. Cadenasso, although favorite, has lost at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite. The match should be competitive.
2.38
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, Cadenasso is a solid favorite and could win in two tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 7-5), keeping the total games under 22.5. De Jong tends to lose in 2 sets when he is an underdog (70% of his losses in 2 sets).
1.76
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 37% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 37% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 71% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 100% |
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