Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk — Prediction
02/05/2026
#6
Mirra Andreeva
17:00
Tomorrow
#18
Marta Kostyuk
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Madrid Open match between Mirra Andreeva and Marta Kostyuk. Kostyuk is in great form with 100% recent wins, while Andreeva has 90%. Both are solid on clay, but Kostyuk appears more dominant.
Our predictions
Victory of Marta Kostyuk
Kostyuk has a 100% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 90% for Andreeva. She also performs better as a favorite (100% wins) and has a better tendency to win in 2 sets (80% outside Grand Slams). Andreeva shows some vulnerability by occasionally losing sets even when favored (40%).
2.2
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Kostyuk wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets outside Grand Slams, and Andreeva 60%. Both tend to finish their matches quickly, especially Kostyuk. The probability of a third set is low.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a win in 2 sets (especially for Kostyuk), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Both are efficient and avoid long matches. However, if Andreeva loses a set, the match could lengthen, hence medium confidence.
1.74
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 9 1 | 10 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 42% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
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