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Sergio Martos Gornes - Karol Drzewiecki: our prediction

02/05/2026•15:25

Sergio / Szymon

2:1

6•7

7•5

10•8

Finished

Karol / Piotr

Sergio Martos Gornes vs Karol Drzewiecki Preview — Ostrava

Match between Sergio Martos Gornes and Karol Drzewiecki in Ostrava. Drzewiecki is favorite with odds of 1.61. Martos Gornes lost his only career match, while Drzewiecki has a record of 1 win and 6 losses, but has shown ability to win as an outsider (20%). Statistics indicate a high probability of a 2-set match.

Our Sergio Martos Gornes vs Karol Drzewiecki predictions

Under 2.5 sets

Statistics show a strong trend towards 2-set matches for both players. Martos Gornes has played 1 match (100% in 2 sets), and Drzewiecki has 85.71% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Additionally, as an outsider, Drzewiecki finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is very low.

1.61

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. 2-set matches generally have fewer than 22 games, especially if one player dominates. Drzewiecki, as favorite, could win easily, limiting the number of games.

1.61

Confidence

High

Victory of Karol Drzewiecki

Karol Drzewiecki is the favorite with odds of 1.61, reflecting his favorite status. Although his overall record is poor (1 win in 7 matches), he has shown ability to win as an outsider (20% wins in that situation). Sergio Martos Gornes, on the other hand, lost his only career match (100% losses) and has never won. Drzewiecki has a psychological and statistical advantage.

1.59

Confidence

High

Market signals on Sergio Martos Gornes vs Karol Drzewiecki

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sergio Martos Gornes vs Karol Drzewiecki Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sergio Martos Gornes	Karol Drzewiecki
Win \| Lose	1	1 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	0%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	0%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%

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