Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — Prediction
02/05/2026

#7

Hubert Hurkacz
14:30
Today

#30

Roman Andres Burruchaga
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Match Preview
Hubert Hurkacz, the favorite, faces Roman Andres Burruchaga in Cagliari. Hurkacz has a 60% win rate and often wins in 2 sets when favored (80%). Burruchaga has an excellent 90% win rate but has lost 70% of his sets as a favorite. The match promises to be tight.
Our predictions
Victory for Hubert Hurkacz
Hurkacz is the favorite with odds of 1.41. He has a 60% win rate and, when favored, often wins in 2 sets (80%). Burruchaga, despite a 90% overall win rate, has lost 70% of his sets as a favorite, indicating vulnerability against a player of Hurkacz's caliber.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Hurkacz often finishes his matches in 2 sets when favored (80% of his matches in 2 sets). Burruchaga, for his part, has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The combination of Hurkacz's form and Burruchaga's tendency to lose sets quickly makes a 2-set match likely.
1.54
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If the match ends in 2 sets, the total number of games will likely be under 22.5. Hurkacz tends to win quickly, and Burruchaga has lost 70% of his sets as a favorite, suggesting close but not overly long sets. A total games under 22.5 is therefore a plausible option.
1.81
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 9 1 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 70% | 80% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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