Cody Wong - Xinxin Yao: our prediction

Statistics show that 60% of Wong's matches and 70% of Yao's matches end in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). The probability of a 3-set match is therefore low (40% for Wong, 30% for Yao). With Yao as the favorite and in good form, it is likely that the match will end in 2 sets, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.

Both players have a strong tendency to finish matches in 2 sets (60% for Wong and 70% for Yao). Matches in 2 sets generally generate fewer than 22.5 games. Additionally, Yao is the favorite and should control the match, limiting the number of games. The probability of a tight 3-set match is lower (40% for Wong, 30% for Yao).

Xinxin Yao is the favorite with odds of 1.73 and a win rate of 20% in her last 10 matches, compared to only 10% for Cody Wong. Yao also has a better record as a favorite (though not quantified here) and a tendency to win in 2 sets (70% of her matches end in 2 sets). Wong has lost 90% of her recent matches and has only won once as an underdog. Form and statistics clearly favor Yao.