Cristian Garin vs Moez Echargui — Prediction
04/05/2026
#6
Cristian Garin
10:00
Today
#144
Moez Echargui
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Cristian Garin faces Moez Echargui in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia qualification on clay. Garin, favorite with odds of 1.13, looks to regain his best form against a less experienced opponent.
Our predictions
Victory for Cristian Garin
Cristian Garin is the logical favorite with very low odds (1.13). He has a 60% win rate as a favorite and has won 100% of his matches as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Moez Echargui has a low win rate (30%) and has never beaten a favorite with similar odds.
1.13
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability that the match ends in 2 sets (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Garin is the favorite and should win easily, limiting the number of games.
1.52
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Garin tends to finish his matches in 2 sets when favored (30% in 2 sets, 70% in 3 sets). Echargui, as an underdog, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The likelihood of the match going beyond 2 sets is limited.
1.33
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 40% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 66% |
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