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Anastasia Potapova - Irina-Camelia Begu: our prediction

04/05/2026•10:05

#15

Anastasia Potapova

2:0

6•1

7•5

Finished

#27

Irina-Camelia Begu

Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification

Qualifying match of the Italian Internationals between Anastasia Potapova, the heavy favorite, and Irina-Camelia Begu. Potapova shows solid form (70% recent wins) and starts with a very low odds (1.14). Begu, the underdog, has 60% wins but will need to pull off an upset.

Our Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu predictions

Victory of Anastasia Potapova

Potapova is the logical favorite with odds of 1.14. Her recent stats show 70% wins, and she has an excellent record as a favorite (70% wins as favorite). Begu, despite having 60% overall wins, has a worse record as an underdog (40% wins). The level difference is significant.

1.12

Confidence

Very high (80%)

Under 2.5 sets in the match

This bet is consistent with the previous one (under 22.5 games). Potapova, as a favorite, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Begu is at 50%. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is therefore limited, especially since Potapova is heavily favored.

1.28

Confidence

High (65%)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Potapova tends to finish her matches quickly when favored: 60% of her matches end in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Begu, for her part, has 50% of her matches in 2 sets. With Potapova's expected dominance, the match should be short, under the 22.5 games mark.

1.31

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Anastasia Potapova	Irina-Camelia Begu
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	62%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	40%