Giorgia Pedone vs Simona Waltert — Prediction
04/05/2026
#319
Giorgia Pedone
11:30
Today
#97
Simona Waltert
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2
Match Preview
Internazionali BNL d'Italia qualification match between Giorgia Pedone and Simona Waltert. Waltert, the heavy favorite, shows solid form and high effectiveness as a favorite, while Pedone struggles to win matches.
Our predictions
Simona Waltert to win
Simona Waltert is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.11. She wins 80% of her matches as a favorite (8/10) and 100% of matches when rated between 1.0 and 1.2 (2/2). Pedone, on the other hand, has won only 10% of her matches (1/10) and 10% as an outsider. The level gap is very significant.
1.12
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 2.5 sets
As mentioned, Waltert wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets when she is the favorite. Pedone loses 50% of her matches in 2 sets as an outsider. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.
1.27
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games
Simona Waltert, as a favorite, finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (8/10). Pedone, as an outsider, finishes 50% of her matches in 2 sets (5/10). The combination of Waltert's expected dominance and Pedone's tendency to lose quickly suggests a short match, with under 22.5 games.
1.11
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 9 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
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