Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barrios — Prediction
05/05/2026

#49

Daniel Merida Aguilar
10:00
Today

#30

Tomas Barrios
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Qualification match for the Italian Internationals on clay between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Tomas Barrios. Merida Aguilar is the favorite with odds of 1.48.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that Merida Aguilar finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets and Barrios 90% (outside Grand Slams). A 2-set match is therefore very likely.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when not in a Grand Slam: Merida Aguilar 70% and Barrios 90%. This suggests a quick match with under 22.5 games.
1.74
Confidence
High
Victory for Daniel Merida Aguilar
Merida Aguilar is the favorite with odds of 1.48 and has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Barrios. He also has an 80% win rate when favorite.
1.49
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 44% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 20% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 40% |
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