Luca Castelnuovo vs Ognjen Milic — Prediction
05/05/2026
#209
Luca Castelnuovo
10:30
Today
#341
Ognjen Milic
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1
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X
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2
Match Preview
Match of the Wuxi tournament between Luca Castelnuovo and Ognjen Milic. Milic is the favorite with odds of 1.52, while Castelnuovo is the underdog at 2.37. Statistics show Milic has a 57.1% win rate in his last 7 matches, compared to 40% for Castelnuovo. Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when they are underdogs.
Our predictions
Victory of Ognjen Milic
Ognjen Milic is the favorite with odds of 1.52 and has a 57.1% win rate in his last 7 matches, compared to 40% for Castelnuovo. Milic also has a good record as a favorite (100% wins in 2 matches). Castelnuovo has lost 60% of his recent matches.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when they are underdogs (60% for Castelnuovo and 57.1% for Milic). Additionally, when Castelnuovo is the favorite, he finishes 100% of his matches in 2 sets. This suggests the match could end in 2 sets.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given that both players have a high probability of finishing the match in 2 sets (without extended tie-breaks), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Matches in 2 sets typically have fewer than 22 games.
1.82
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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