Magda Linette - Tatjana Maria: our prediction
06/05/2026•11:05

#24

Magda Linette
0:2
0•6
3•6
Finished

#45

Tatjana Maria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the Italian Open between Magda Linette and Tatjana Maria. Linette is the favorite with odds of 1.29, while Maria is the underdog at 3.48. Both players have a similar win percentage in the last 10 matches (40%), but Linette has a better record as a favorite (60% vs 80% for Maria). The match is played on clay, Maria's preferred surface.
Our Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players have a high percentage of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (Linette 70%, Maria 80%). Additionally, as a favorite, Linette has 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and Maria 70% as a favorite. Given that Linette is the favorite and both players have a direct playing style, it is very likely that the match will end in 2 sets, thus under 2.5 sets.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Statistics show that both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when not playing in a Grand Slam. Linette has 70% of her matches in 2 sets, Maria 80%. Additionally, as a favorite, Linette wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and Maria 70% as a favorite. Since Linette is the favorite and both players have an efficient playing style, it is likely that the match will end in 2 sets, which usually results in under 22.5 games.
1.52
Confidence
High
Victory for Magda Linette
Magda Linette is the logical favorite with odds of 1.29. Although her overall win percentage is 40%, she has a 60% record as a favorite, which is solid. Tatjana Maria, despite having a good record as a favorite (80%), is the underdog here and has only 30% wins in this role. Additionally, Linette has an advantage on clay, a surface where Maria excels, but Linette is better ranked and more experienced on this surface.
1.29
Confidence
High
Market signals on Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 71% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 42% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers