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Magda Linette - Tatjana Maria: our prediction

06/05/202611:05
Magda Linette
#24
country flag
Magda Linette
0:2
06
36
Finished
Tatjana Maria
#45
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Tatjana Maria
-
1
-
X
-
2

Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

First round match of the Italian Open between Magda Linette and Tatjana Maria. Linette is the favorite with odds of 1.29, while Maria is the underdog at 3.48. Both players have a similar win percentage in the last 10 matches (40%), but Linette has a better record as a favorite (60% vs 80% for Maria). The match is played on clay, Maria's preferred surface.

Our Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players have a high percentage of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (Linette 70%, Maria 80%). Additionally, as a favorite, Linette has 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and Maria 70% as a favorite. Given that Linette is the favorite and both players have a direct playing style, it is very likely that the match will end in 2 sets, thus under 2.5 sets.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Statistics show that both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets when not playing in a Grand Slam. Linette has 70% of her matches in 2 sets, Maria 80%. Additionally, as a favorite, Linette wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets, and Maria 70% as a favorite. Since Linette is the favorite and both players have an efficient playing style, it is likely that the match will end in 2 sets, which usually results in under 22.5 games.
1.52
Confidence
High
Victory for Magda Linette
Magda Linette is the logical favorite with odds of 1.29. Although her overall win percentage is 40%, she has a 60% record as a favorite, which is solid. Tatjana Maria, despite having a good record as a favorite (80%), is the underdog here and has only 30% wins in this role. Additionally, Linette has an advantage on clay, a surface where Maria excels, but Linette is better ranked and more experienced on this surface.
1.29
Confidence
High

Market signals on Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Statistics

Win
Magda Linette logo
Magda Linette
Tatjana Maria logo
Tatjana Maria
Win | Lose
4
6
4
6
Win
Lose
% of match in X sets
12
% of match in 3 sets
50%
10%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when favorite
12
% of match in 3 sets
40%
100%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when outsider
12
% of match in 3 sets
40%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
Win by being a favorite
12
Global
60%
80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2
50%
100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
50%
100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8
75%
71%
Win by being an outsider
12
Global
40%
30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
50%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
40%
40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
33%
50%
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
12
Global
40%
50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
50%
33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
40%
60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
33%
50%
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
12
Global
60%
30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20
100%
0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
50%
0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80
50%
42%
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