Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska — Prediction
05/05/2026
#57
Anastasia Zakharova
14:00
Today
#22
Dayana Yastremska
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Match Preview
First round match of the Italian Open between Anastasia Zakharova and Dayana Yastremska. Yastremska is the favorite with odds of 1.34, while Zakharova is the underdog at 3.14. Both play on clay, a surface that suits Yastremska.
Our predictions
Victory of Dayana Yastremska
Yastremska is the logical favorite with low odds at 1.34. She has an 80% win rate when favored, compared to 50% for Zakharova. Yastremska is more experienced on clay and should prevail.
1.34
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Zakharova finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Yastremska 50%. As a favorite, Yastremska wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.34
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the number of games should be limited. Zakharova and Yastremska tend to play tight but short matches. A total under 22.5 games is plausible.
1.34
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 57% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 28% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 57% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 75% |
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