Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka — Prediction
05/05/2026
#10
Pablo Carreno Busta
10:00
Today
#1
Stan Wawrinka
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Qualification match for the Italian Internationals between Pablo Carreno Busta, favorite, and Stan Wawrinka. Carreno Busta is in better recent form with 70% wins, while Wawrinka has 30% wins. The match is played on clay, Carreno Busta's preferred surface.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Carreno Busta, as favorite, finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets. Wawrinka, as underdog, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The match should end in 2 sets, so under 2.5 sets.
1.51
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Carreno Busta tends to win quickly in 2 sets (70% as favorite). Wawrinka, as underdog, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The match should be dominated by Carreno Busta, limiting the number of games.
1.73
Confidence
High
Victory of Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta is favorite with odds of 1.42. He has won 70% of his last matches and 90% as favorite. Wawrinka is struggling with only 30% wins. The clay surface favors Carreno Busta.
1.43
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 30% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 60% |
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