Anhelina Kalinina vs Katie Volynets — Prediction

Although the match could go to 3 sets, the total number of games could remain under 22.5. Indeed, Kalinina has a 60% rate of matches in 2 sets, suggesting relatively tight matches. Additionally, both players have a high win rate as favorite (80% each), indicating they can handle key moments. A 3-set match with tight scores (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-3) would total 23 games, but it is plausible that the match ends in 2 sets or in 3 sets with a total under 22.5 games (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games, or 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games). Kalinina's tendency to play in 2 sets (60%) and the fact that Volynets has a 40% rate of matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) support this option.

Volynets has played 60% of her matches in 3 sets (excluding Grand Slams), and Kalinina 40%. Additionally, Volynets has a 70% rate of 3-set matches when favorite, and Kalinina 50%. Given that Volynets is the underdog and Kalinina tends to lose sets even when favorite (60% of her matches as favorite saw at least one set lost), it is likely that the match goes to 3 sets.

Kalinina is the favorite and has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Volynets. Additionally, Kalinina has an 80% win rate when favorite, which is solid. Volynets has a 40% win rate as an underdog, which is lower. The odds of 1.54 for Kalinina are justified.