Jelena Ostapenko - Amanda Anisimova: our prediction
07/05/2026
#7
Jelena Ostapenko
15:00
Today
#4
Amanda Anisimova
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Jelena Ostapenko vs Amanda Anisimova Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Jelena Ostapenko faces Amanda Anisimova in the first round of the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay. Ostapenko, a seeded player and powerful hitter, will look to impose her aggressive game. Anisimova, the bookmakers' favorite, is in good form and aims for a quick victory. The match promises to be tight with very balanced set statistics.
Our Jelena Ostapenko vs Amanda Anisimova predictions
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Statistics show that both players tend to play tight but short matches. A 2-set match with typical scores (6-4, 6-3) gives about 19 games, well below 22.5.
1.68
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Ostapenko has 70% of matches in 2 sets when favored, and Anisimova 60%. With Anisimova favored, it is likely that the match will end in straight 2 sets, especially since Ostapenko tends to lose quickly when an underdog.
1.54
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory for Amanda Anisimova
Anisimova is the favorite with odds of 1.72 and has an overall win rate of 60% in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Ostapenko. Additionally, Anisimova has a 60% win rate when favored, while Ostapenko only has a 30% win rate as an underdog. Recent form and favorite status favor Anisimova.
1.73
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Jelena Ostapenko vs Amanda Anisimova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jelena Ostapenko vs Amanda Anisimova Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 100% |
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