Rugby

Tennis

Andrey Rublev - Miomir Kecmanovic: our prediction

09/05/2026

Andrey Rublev

11:00

Today

#30

Miomir Kecmanovic

Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Andrey Rublev, the favorite, faces Miomir Kecmanovic in the first round of the Italian Open on clay. Rublev is higher ranked and more experienced on this surface, but Kecmanovic has shown good resilience as an underdog.

Our Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic predictions

Victory for Andrey Rublev

Rublev is the favorite with odds of 1.39, indicating a high probability of victory. His statistics as a favorite (50% wins) and higher ranking on clay put him in a strong position. Kecmanovic has a lower win rate (30%) and often struggles against higher-ranked opponents.

1.41

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Rublev tends to lose at least one set when he is the favorite (70% of his matches as favorite). Kecmanovic, as an underdog, has won at least one set in 80% of his matches. These statistics suggest a tight match that could go to three sets.

2.33

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Although the match could last three sets, Rublev's statistics as a favorite show he often wins in two sets (60% of his non-Grand Slam matches). If Rublev wins in two sets, the total number of games could be under 22.5, especially if the sets are tight.

1.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Andrey Rublev vs Miomir Kecmanovic Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Andrey Rublev	Miomir Kecmanovic
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	90%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	70%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	30%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	37%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	87%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%

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