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Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista Agut: our prediction

09/05/2026

Brandon Nakashima

15:30

Today

Roberto Bautista Agut

Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Brandon Nakashima faces Roberto Bautista Agut in the first round of the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia on clay. Nakashima is the favorite with odds of 1.51, while Bautista Agut is the underdog at 2.53. Nakashima has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but wins 60% of the time as a favorite. Bautista Agut has an 80% win rate as a favorite, but only 10% as an underdog. The match is best of 3 sets.

Our Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Bautista Agut finishes 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Nakashima, as a favorite, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match in 2 sets is high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.

1.57

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Bautista Agut tends to finish his matches in 2 sets (80% of his non-Grand Slam matches). Nakashima has 60% of his matches in 2 sets when favored. A match in 2 sets usually implies fewer than 22.5 games.

1.84

Confidence

High (65 %)

Brandon Nakashima to win

Nakashima is the favorite and has a good record as a favorite (60% wins). Bautista Agut has a low win rate as an underdog (10%). The odds of 1.51 are attractive for a solid favorite.

1.51

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Brandon Nakashima	Roberto Bautista Agut
Win \| Lose	4 6	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	90%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	33%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	37%

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