Corentin Moutet - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: our prediction
09/05/2026
#30
Corentin Moutet
11:00
Today
#127
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the 2026 Italian Open on clay between Corentin Moutet and Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Moutet is the favorite with odds of 1.71, but Llamas Ruiz has a good recent record (70% wins in his last 10 matches). The match promises to be close.
Our Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz predictions
Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has won 70% of his last 10 matches, compared to only 40% for Moutet. Furthermore, as an underdog, Llamas Ruiz has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Moutet has only 10% as an underdog. Llamas Ruiz's recent form is significantly better.
2.1
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players tend to play tight matches. Moutet has played 3 sets in 30% of his non-Grand Slam matches, and Llamas Ruiz in 50%. Additionally, Llamas Ruiz has lost at least 1 set in 70% of his matches as a favorite, suggesting he could drop a set to Moutet. The match should go over 2.5 sets.
2.23
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. On average, a 3-set match on clay can easily reach 25-30 games. Additionally, both players have shown a tendency to play tight games, increasing the total games.
1.94
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 42% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 14% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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