Alexander Merino - Luis Guto Miguel: our prediction

As mentioned, Merino has played 100% of his matches in 2 sets and Miguel 70% in 2 sets. The statistics show a high probability that the match will end in a maximum of 2 sets, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets. This bet is consistent with under 22.5 games.

Merino has played 100% of his matches in 2 sets (2/2), and Miguel 70% of his matches in 2 sets (7/10). Both players therefore tend to finish their matches quickly. With Merino in poor form and Miguel as favorite, the match could end in two straight sets, making under 22.5 games very likely.

Merino has won none of his last 2 matches (0% win rate), while Miguel has a 45.45% win rate in his last 11 matches. Miguel also has a perfect record as a favorite (3 wins in 3 matches) and has already won as an outsider. Merino, on the other hand, has never won as an outsider (0/1). The odds of 2.17 for Miguel are therefore very attractive.