Karolina Pliskova - Elena Rybakina: our prediction
11/05/2026•21:00
#2
Karolina Pliskova
0:2
0•6
2•6
Finished
#1
Elena Rybakina
-
1
-
X
-
2
Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Karolina Pliskova faces Elena Rybakina in the first round of the 2026 Italian Open on clay. Rybakina is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.12, while Pliskova is the underdog at 6.07. Rybakina has an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches and excellent form on clay. Pliskova, though experienced, has shown signs of vulnerability recently.
Our Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina predictions
Victory for Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina is the logical favorite with a very low odds of 1.12. She has won 80% of her last 10 matches and shows impressive form on clay. Pliskova, despite her experience, has a win rate of only 20% as an underdog against opponents with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Rybakina also has a perfect win rate (100%) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2.
1.12
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Given Rybakina's dominant form and Pliskova's tendency to lose quickly as an underdog, it is very likely that the match will end in straight 2 sets. Rybakina won in 2 sets in 70% of her non-Grand Slam matches, and Pliskova lost in 2 sets in 50% of her matches as an underdog. A third set is unlikely.
1.26
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Rybakina tends to win her matches quickly, especially when favored. In her last 10 non-Grand Slam matches, she won in 2 sets in 70% of cases. Pliskova, on the other hand, lost in 2 sets in 50% of her matches as an underdog. The combination of Rybakina's dominance and Pliskova's vulnerability suggests a short match, with under 22.5 games.
1.47
Confidence
High
Market signals on Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 87% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 57% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 71% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 62% | 50% |
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