Sander Arends - Jakub Paul: our prediction
15/05/2026
Sander / David
14:55
Today
Jakub / Matej
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1
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X
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2
Sander Arends vs Jakub Paul Preview — Valencia
Sander Arends faces Jakub Paul in Valencia. Arends is the underdog with one loss in one match, while Paul is the favorite with a 30% win rate. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but data suggests a possible two-set victory for Paul.
Our Sander Arends vs Jakub Paul predictions
Jakub Paul Victory
Jakub Paul is the favorite with odds of 1.42 and a 60% win rate when favored. Arends has lost his only recorded match, reinforcing confidence in Paul's victory.
1.47
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Paul's statistics show a trend towards short matches, and Arends has only played one match which ended in two sets.
1.42
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Jakub Paul has 60% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams) finished in 2 sets, and Arends played one match that also ended in 2 sets. The trend is therefore towards a two-set match, i.e. under 2.5 sets.
1.42
Confidence
High
Market signals on Sander Arends vs Jakub Paul
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sander Arends vs Jakub Paul Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 1 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 40% |
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