Henri Squire - Cristian Garin: our prediction
16/05/2026
#181
Henri Squire
11:00
Today
#6
Cristian Garin
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Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin Preview — Hamburg European Open, Qualification
Qualification match for the Hamburg European Open between Henri Squire and Cristian Garin. Garin is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.22, while Squire is the underdog at 4.05. Garin has a better win percentage (40% vs 20%) and performs better as a favorite (60% wins). Squire tends to lose sets even when favored (70%).
Our Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin predictions
Victory for Cristian Garin
Cristian Garin is the logical favorite with odds of 1.22. He has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to only 20% for Squire. Furthermore, Garin wins 60% of his matches as a favorite, while Squire loses 80% of his matches. Squire also tends to lose sets even when favored (70%), which reinforces the likelihood of a Garin victory.
1.24
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that Squire has played 3 sets in 30% of his non-Grand Slam matches, while Garin has played 3 sets in 70% of his matches. Additionally, Squire often loses a set even when favored (70%), suggesting the match could be tight and go to 3 sets. The odds for this bet are attractive at 1.22.
2.62
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Given that the match could be played in 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), it is likely that the total number of games will exceed 22.5. Squire tends to lose a set (70%), lengthening the match. However, confidence is medium because Garin could win in two tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 6-4) which would result in fewer than 22.5 games.
2.22
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 66% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 40% |
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