Diego Dedura Palomero - Frances Tiafoe: our prediction
17/05/2026
#191
Diego Dedura-Palomero
13:30
Today
#16
Frances Tiafoe
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Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe Preview — Hamburg European Open
Diego Dedura-Palomero faces Frances Tiafoe in the first round of the 2026 Hamburg European Open. Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.33, while Dedura-Palomero is at 3.18. The match is played on clay.
Our Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe predictions
Victory for Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.33. He has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches and an 80% win rate when favored. Dedura-Palomero has only a 50% overall win rate and 40% as an underdog. The gap in ranking and experience is significant.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Tiafoe has 60% of his non-Slam matches in 2 sets, and Dedura-Palomero 70%. Both players tend to finish quickly. With Tiafoe favored, he is likely to win in 2 sets, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Tiafoe is favored and has 60% of his non-Slam matches in 3 sets, while Dedura-Palomero has 70% in 2 sets. The match could be quick. With Tiafoe's superiority, a straight-sets win (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) would result in under 22.5 games.
1.68
Confidence
High
Market signals on Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 66% |
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