Rugby

Tennis

Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston: our prediction

17/05/2026

#60

Ignacio Buse

12:00

Today

#62

Hugo Gaston

Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston Preview — Hamburg European Open, Qualification

Qualifying match for the Hamburg tournament on clay between Ignacio Buse and Hugo Gaston. Buse is the favorite with odds of 1.30, but the more experienced Frenchman Gaston could cause an upset.

Our Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

As mentioned, both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (Buse 70%, Gaston 80%). This makes the 'under 2.5 sets' bet very likely, consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet.

1.44

Confidence

High (65%)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Both players have a high percentage of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams: Buse 70% and Gaston 80%. Additionally, as a favorite, Gaston wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. This suggests a relatively short match with few games.

1.61

Confidence

High (65%)

Victory for Hugo Gaston

Although Buse is the favorite, Gaston has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and has shown a good ability to win as an underdog (30% wins). His experience on clay and higher ATP ranking (unspecified but presumed) could make the difference. The odds of 3.38 are interesting for a value bet.

3.41

Confidence

Medium (50%)

Market signals on Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Ignacio Buse	Hugo Gaston
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	30%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	75%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	16%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	25%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%

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