Maya Joint - Ann Li: our prediction

Ann Li is the logical favorite with odds of 1.41. She has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to just 10% for Maya Joint. Furthermore, Li has shown a better ability to win as an underdog (40% wins) and to win at least one set as an underdog (80%), highlighting her resilience. Joint, on the other hand, has a 90% loss rate and has never won as an underdog.

Statistics show that Maya Joint often loses in 2 sets (70% of her matches outside Grand Slams), but Ann Li tends to play matches in 3 sets (70% outside Grand Slams). Additionally, Li has a high rate of losing at least one set as a favorite (90%), suggesting the match could extend to 3 sets. The odds of 2.87 for over 2.5 sets are attractive.

Although the match could go to 3 sets, Joint's statistics show she often loses in 2 sets (70%), which could limit the total number of games. Additionally, Li has a 2-set win rate of 30% when favored. The odds of 1.41 for under 22.5 games are reasonable, as even in 3 sets, the total games could stay under 22.5 if the sets are tight.