James McCabe - Zdenek Kolar: our prediction

Zdenek Kolar is the logical favorite with very low odds (1.15). He has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, while McCabe has only 40%. Kolar also has a better record as a favorite (winning 40% of the time when favored, compared to McCabe's 60% but McCabe is the outsider here). Furthermore, Kolar has a 62.5% win rate as an outsider against opponents with odds between 1.51 and 1.8, showing his ability to win even when not favored. McCabe, as an outsider, has only 40% wins.

As mentioned, both players have 80% of their non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Although this is a Grand Slam match (so best-of-5), the expected dominance of Kolar and McCabe's weakness (40% wins) suggest that Kolar can win in straight sets. Kolar has a 100% win rate as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2, and McCabe has never won a set as an outsider against an opponent with odds between 1.0 and 1.2 (0% in 1 match). Kolar also has a 70% rate of winning in 2 sets when favored (outside Grand Slams).

Both players tend to finish their matches quickly. McCabe has 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Kolar also 80%. In Grand Slams, McCabe has 66.7% of his matches in 3 sets, but Kolar has 66.7% in 4 sets or more. However, Kolar's odds are very low (1.15), so an easy and quick victory is expected. Additionally, Kolar has a 100% win rate as a favorite with odds between 1.0 and 1.2 (albeit on a small sample). A straight-sets win is likely, which usually results in under 22.5 games.