Rugby

Tennis

Francesco Maestrelli - Rio Noguchi: our prediction

19/05/2026•13:10

#17

Francesco Maestrelli

2:1

3•6

7•6

6•2

Finished

#79

Rio Noguchi

Francesco Maestrelli vs Rio Noguchi Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Roland Garros qualifying match between Francesco Maestrelli and Rio Noguchi. Maestrelli is the favorite with odds of 1.25, but his recent form is very poor (1 win in his last 10 matches). Noguchi, the underdog at 3.66, has a balanced record (5 wins, 5 losses) and performs well as an underdog.

Our Francesco Maestrelli vs Rio Noguchi predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match

Maestrelli tends to lose sets as a favorite (60% of his matches as favorite). Noguchi, as an underdog, often wins at least one set (70%). This suggests a competitive match, potentially in 3 sets, which easily exceeds 22.5 games.

2.3

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Although Maestrelli and Noguchi have a high rate of 2-set matches outside Grand Slams (80% each), the Grand Slam context changes things. Maestrelli has lost a set in 60% of his matches as a favorite, and Noguchi wins one in 70% of his matches as an underdog. A 3-set match is therefore plausible.

2.6

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Victory for Rio Noguchi

Maestrelli is in very poor form (1 win in 10 matches) and has a low win rate as a favorite (60%). Noguchi, although an underdog, has a balanced record and an excellent win rate as an underdog (70%). The attractive odds of 3.66 for Noguchi make him a value bet.

3.65

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Francesco Maestrelli vs Rio Noguchi

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Francesco Maestrelli vs Rio Noguchi Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Francesco Maestrelli	Rio Noguchi
Win \| Lose	1 9	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	83%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	75%	33%

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