Lautaro Midon - Roberto Carballes Baena: our prediction
19/05/2026•13:15
#162
Lautaro Midon
0:2
4•6
6•7
Finished
#51
Roberto Carballes Baena
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1
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X
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2
Lautaro Midon vs Roberto Carballes Baena Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between Lautaro Midon and Roberto Carballes Baena. Carballes Baena, the favorite, has odds of 1.40 against 2.77 for Midon. Midon has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Carballes Baena is at 50%. On clay, Carballes Baena is more experienced.
Our Lautaro Midon vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions
Victory for Roberto Carballes Baena
Carballes Baena is the favorite with odds of 1.40. He has significant experience on clay, the surface of Roland Garros. Midon has a good win rate (60%) but Carballes Baena is more solid as a favorite (50% wins as favorite vs 80% for Midon, but Midon has played in different contexts). Carballes Baena's recent form and his status as a seed in qualifying make him the favorite.
1.39
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If the match ends in 2 sets, the total number of games will likely be under 22.5. Carballes Baena is the favorite and should control the match, limiting the number of games. Additionally, Midon and Carballes Baena's 2-set matches tend to be tight but short.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Carballes Baena, as a favorite, tends to win in 2 sets in 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches. Midon, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (50% of his matches in 2 sets). Although this is a Grand Slam, the difference in level suggests a 2-set match.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lautaro Midon vs Roberto Carballes Baena
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lautaro Midon vs Roberto Carballes Baena Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 37% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 62% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 50% |
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