Martin Damm - Toby Samuel: our prediction
18/05/2026•15:35
#33
Martin Damm
0:2
6•7
2•6
Finished
#88
Toby Samuel
-
1
-
X
-
2
Martin Damm vs Toby Samuel Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Qualifying match for Roland Garros between Martin Damm and Toby Samuel. Damm is the favorite with odds at 1.56, but Samuel has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches. The match is played on clay, a physically demanding surface.
Our Martin Damm vs Toby Samuel predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with 'Under 22.5 games'. Martin Damm has won 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Toby Samuel 50% in 2 sets. A match in 2 sets means under 2.5 sets. Damm's tendency to dominate quickly and the fact that he is the favorite reinforce this probability.
1.56
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Martin Damm has won 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Toby Samuel 50% in 2 sets. A match in 2 sets generally implies fewer than 22.5 games. Additionally, Damm has a 70% win rate as a favorite, suggesting a controlled match. The clay surface can lengthen rallies, but the tendency of both players to finish quickly in 2 sets makes this bet likely.
1.83
Confidence
High
Victory for Martin Damm
Martin Damm is the favorite with odds of 1.56, supported by a 70% win rate when favored. He has won 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, showing his ability to dominate quickly. Toby Samuel, despite a 60% overall win rate, has only a 40% win rate as an underdog. The clay surface could favor Damm, who is more experienced.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Martin Damm vs Toby Samuel
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Martin Damm vs Toby Samuel Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 10% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 42% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 85% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 40% | 100% |
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