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Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Thomas Faurel: our prediction

18/05/202611:40
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
#179
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Genaro Alberto Olivieri
0:2
67
36
Finished
Thomas Faurel
#297
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Thomas Faurel
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1
-
X
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2

Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Thomas Faurel Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Roland Garros qualifying match between Genaro Alberto Olivieri and Thomas Faurel. Olivieri is favorite with odds of 1.61, but his recent form is mixed (40% wins). Faurel, underdog at 2.23, has a low win rate (30%) but has shown ability to win sets as an underdog (50%). The match is on clay, Olivieri's preferred surface.

Our Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Thomas Faurel predictions

Victory of Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Olivieri is the favorite and plays on clay, his preferred surface. Although his recent form is average (40% wins), he has a better record than Faurel (30%). Furthermore, Faurel has never won as a favorite (0% in 2 matches), suggesting a weakness under pressure. The odds of 1.61 are attractive for a favorite.
1.59
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Faurel finishes 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and 90% as an underdog. Olivieri, as a favorite, has 30% of matches in 2 sets. Although Olivieri tends to go to a 3rd set (70% outside Grand Slams), Faurel's tendency to lose quickly makes a 2-set match likely. This bet is consistent with the under 22.5 games.
1.54
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Faurel tends to lose quickly as an underdog (90% of his non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets). Olivieri, although more combative, has a 30% rate of 2-set matches when favorite. Combined with the qualifying format (maximum 3 sets), there is a moderate probability that the match ends in under 22.5 games.
1.67
Confidence
Medium

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