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Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pedro Boscardin Dias: our prediction

18/05/2026•16:15

#17

Nikoloz Basilashvili

0:2

6•7

4•6

Finished

#217

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Nikoloz Basilashvili, favorite with odds of 1.18, faces Pedro Boscardin Dias (odds 4.22) in the first round of Roland Garros qualifying. Basilashvili is in good form (70% recent wins) and plays on clay, his preferred surface. Boscardin Dias, less experienced on the ATP tour, will struggle to compete.

Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pedro Boscardin Dias predictions

Victory for Nikoloz Basilashvili

Basilashvili is the logical favorite with a very low odds of 1.18. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, and 60% wins as a favorite. Boscardin Dias has only 50% recent wins and 30% as an underdog. The difference in level is significant.

1.19

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability that the match goes to 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. On average, a 3-set match on clay can reach 30 games or more. Basilashvili's statistics show that 80% of his Grand Slam matches go beyond 3 sets, implying a high number of games.

2.4

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Although Basilashvili is the favorite, he tends to lose sets as a favorite (60% of his matches as a favorite go beyond 2 sets). Additionally, Boscardin Dias could snatch a set, as shown by his 50% rate of winning at least one set as an underdog. The match could therefore be lengthy.

2.68

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nikoloz Basilashvili	Pedro Boscardin Dias
Win \| Lose	7 3	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	71%	83%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	66%

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