Alex Barrena - Alexis Galarneau: our prediction
18/05/2026•16:45
#192
Alex Barrena
1:2
6•2
3•6
6•7
Finished
#109
Alexis Galarneau
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alex Barrena vs Alexis Galarneau Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Alex Barrena and Alexis Galarneau. Barrena is the favorite with odds of 1.54, but Galarneau has a better recent win rate (50% vs 40%). The match is played on clay.
Our Alex Barrena vs Alexis Galarneau predictions
Over 22.5 games
With a high probability of 3 sets (see previous analysis), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Barrena tends to play tight matches, and Galarneau, even when winning in 2 sets, can concede games. The odds of 1.54 are reasonable for this scenario.
2.09
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets
Barrena has 60% of his matches in 3 sets (outside Grand Slams), while Galarneau has 30%. As an underdog, Barrena plays 70% of his matches in 3 sets. Galarneau, as an underdog, plays 80% of his matches in 2 sets, but as a favorite, he loses a set in 70% of cases. The match promises to be close and could go to 3 sets.
2.33
Confidence
High
Galarneau Victory
Galarneau has an overall win rate of 50% in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Barrena. Additionally, as an underdog, Galarneau wins 50% of his matches, which is high. Barrena, despite his favorite status, only has a 60% win rate as a favorite. The odds of 2.33 offer good value.
2.34
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alex Barrena vs Alexis Galarneau
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alex Barrena vs Alexis Galarneau Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 42% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 80% | 71% |
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