Vilius Gaubas - Federico Coria: our prediction
18/05/2026•19:10
#117
Vilius Gaubas
2:0
6•4
6•1
Finished
#63
Federico Coria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Vilius Gaubas vs Federico Coria Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between Vilius Gaubas and Federico Coria. Gaubas is the favorite with odds of 1.16, but Coria has more experience on clay. The match is played in best of 3 sets.
Our Vilius Gaubas vs Federico Coria predictions
Victory for Vilius Gaubas
Gaubas is the favorite with very low odds (1.16), reflecting his expected superiority. He has a good win percentage as a favorite (50% overall, 60% in 2 sets outside Grand Slams). Coria, although experienced, has a low win rate as an underdog (20%). The clay surface is favorable to Gaubas.
1.15
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Gaubas tends to win in 2 sets (60% outside Grand Slams). Coria, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (60% outside Grand Slams). The probability of a 2-set match is high, making 'under 2.5 sets' very likely.
1.37
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
If the match ends in straight 2 sets, the number of games will likely be under 22.5. Gaubas is the favorite and can impose his game quickly. Coria might struggle to break, limiting the number of games. However, if Coria holds a set, the total could exceed 22.5, hence medium confidence.
1.52
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Vilius Gaubas vs Federico Coria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Vilius Gaubas vs Federico Coria Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 44% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 77% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 80% |
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