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Nicolas Mejia - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: our prediction

18/05/2026•18:05

#123

Nicolas Mejia

0:2

3•6

6•7

Finished

#98

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Nicolas Mejia vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Nicolas Mejia faces Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the first round of Roland Garros qualifying. Llamas Ruiz is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.11, while Mejia is the outsider at 5.66. Llamas Ruiz has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Mejia. The match is played on clay, Llamas Ruiz's preferred surface.

Our Nicolas Mejia vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz predictions

Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the logical favorite with a very low odds of 1.11. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches and is particularly strong on clay. Mejia, although having a 60% win rate, is the underdog and lacks the credentials to compete with Llamas Ruiz on this surface.

1.12

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 22.5 games in the match

Given the expected dominance of Llamas Ruiz and the likelihood of a straight-sets match, the total number of games should be low. Llamas Ruiz's matches as a favorite often end with under 22.5 games. Mejia, as the underdog, is not expected to win enough games to exceed this total.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Llamas Ruiz, as the favorite, tends to win his matches in straight sets. Mejia, as the underdog, struggles to win a set against higher-ranked opponents. Statistics show that Llamas Ruiz often wins in 2 sets, and Mejia frequently loses in 2 sets. A match under 2.5 sets is therefore very likely.

1.32

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Nicolas Mejia vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Mejia vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Mejia	Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	42%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	14%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	80%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	66%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%

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