Mary Stoiana - Selena Janicijevic: our prediction
18/05/2026•16:35

#146

Mary Stoiana
2:1
3•6
6•4
6•4
Finished

#181

Selena Janicijevic
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1
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X
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2
Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualifying match between Mary Stoiana, heavy favorite, and Selena Janicijevic, underdog. Stoiana has a very low odds (1.17) but a low win rate (30%) and often loses a set as favorite (77.8%). Janicijevic has high odds (4.53) but a similar win rate (30%) and tends to play in 2 sets (90% outside Grand Slams). Match unbalanced on paper but potentially tight.
Our Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
Stoiana often loses a set as favorite (77.8%), implying tight sets. Janicijevic, as underdog, has won at least one set in 50% of her matches. Even in 2 sets, the total games can exceed 22.5 if the sets are competitive. Stoiana's tendency to drop sets suggests a long match.
1.83
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory of Mary Stoiana
Stoiana is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.17. Although her overall win rate is low (30%), she has a win rate of 55.6% when favorite. Janicijevic has a win rate of 30% and has never won against a favorite priced between 1.0 and 1.2 (0% in 1 match). Stoiana should prevail.
1.17
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Janicijevic plays 90% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Stoiana has 60% of her matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams. However, in Grand Slams, Janicijevic has 25% of matches in 3 sets. Janicijevic's tendency to finish quickly and Stoiana's very low odds suggest a 2-set match.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 55% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 37% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 77% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 75% |
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