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Mary Stoiana - Selena Janicijevic: our prediction

18/05/202616:35
Mary Stoiana
#146
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Mary Stoiana
2:1
36
64
64
Finished
Selena Janicijevic
#181
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Selena Janicijevic
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1
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Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA

Roland Garros qualifying match between Mary Stoiana, heavy favorite, and Selena Janicijevic, underdog. Stoiana has a very low odds (1.17) but a low win rate (30%) and often loses a set as favorite (77.8%). Janicijevic has high odds (4.53) but a similar win rate (30%) and tends to play in 2 sets (90% outside Grand Slams). Match unbalanced on paper but potentially tight.

Our Mary Stoiana vs Selena Janicijevic predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match
Stoiana often loses a set as favorite (77.8%), implying tight sets. Janicijevic, as underdog, has won at least one set in 50% of her matches. Even in 2 sets, the total games can exceed 22.5 if the sets are competitive. Stoiana's tendency to drop sets suggests a long match.
1.83
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory of Mary Stoiana
Stoiana is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.17. Although her overall win rate is low (30%), she has a win rate of 55.6% when favorite. Janicijevic has a win rate of 30% and has never won against a favorite priced between 1.0 and 1.2 (0% in 1 match). Stoiana should prevail.
1.17
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Janicijevic plays 90% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Stoiana has 60% of her matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams. However, in Grand Slams, Janicijevic has 25% of matches in 3 sets. Janicijevic's tendency to finish quickly and Stoiana's very low odds suggest a 2-set match.
1.33
Confidence
High (65 %)

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