Magdalena Frech - Leylah Fernandez: our prediction
19/05/2026•15:40
#24
Magdalena Frech
1:2
4•6
6•3
4•6
Finished
#22
Leylah Fernandez
-
1
-
X
-
2
Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez Preview — Internationaux de Strasbourg
Magdalena Frech faces Leylah Fernandez in the first round of the Internationaux de Strasbourg. Fernandez is the favorite with odds at 1.37, while Frech is the underdog at 3.01. In their last 10 matches, Fernandez has a 60% win rate compared to Frech's 40%. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but both players have shown a tendency to play 3-set matches outside of Grand Slams.
Our Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez predictions
Victory for Leylah Fernandez
Leylah Fernandez is the logical favorite with odds at 1.37. She has won 60% of her last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Frech. Moreover, as a favorite, Fernandez has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, similar to Frech, but her consistency and higher ranking (likely seeded) give her an advantage. No injuries or absences reported for either player.
1.37
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that outside of Grand Slams, Frech plays 60% of her matches in 3 sets, and Fernandez 40%. However, as an underdog, Frech has a 60% rate of matches in 3 sets, while Fernandez as a favorite has a 40% rate of matches in 3 sets. The tendency for a tight match is reinforced by the fact that Frech, as an underdog, has won at least 1 set in 60% of her matches, which could force a third set.
2.43
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a tendency to play 3-set matches (especially for Frech as an underdog), the total number of games could exceed 22.5. A tight 3-set match with deuce games can easily reach this total. Additionally, both players have a 50% rate of losing at least 1 set as favorites, suggesting competitive sets.
2.19
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 80% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
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