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Kathinka von Deichmann - Himeno Sakatsume: our prediction

20/05/2026•12:05

#80

Kathinka von Deichmann

1:2

3•6

6•2

3•6

Finished

#109

Himeno Sakatsume

Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA

Roland Garros qualifying match between Kathinka von Deichmann and Himeno Sakatsume. Sakatsume is the favorite with odds of 1.36, while von Deichmann is the underdog at 3.00. Sakatsume has a better recent win rate (40% vs 30%) and is very solid when favored (80% wins). Von Deichmann struggles as an underdog (20% wins). The match is played on clay, a slow surface that could favor Sakatsume's consistency.

Our Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume predictions

Victory for Himeno Sakatsume

Himeno Sakatsume is the logical favorite. She has a 40% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 30% for von Deichmann. Most importantly, Sakatsume performs very well when favored (80% wins), while von Deichmann only wins 20% of her matches as an underdog. The odds of 1.36 reflect this superiority. No injuries or absences reported.

1.36

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

This bet is consistent with the previous one (under 22.5 games). Sakatsume, as a favorite, finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Von Deichmann, as an underdog, also sees 60% of her matches end in 2 sets. The probability of the match going to 3 sets is therefore low. Additionally, Sakatsume has a good win rate in 2 sets when favored (60%). A 2-set match is very likely.

1.46

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Sakatsume tends to finish her matches in 2 sets when favored (60% of her non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets). Von Deichmann, as an underdog, also sees 60% of her matches conclude in 2 sets. With such a strong favorite, the match could be quick and not exceed 22.5 games. However, the margin is small, hence medium confidence.

1.59

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Kathinka von Deichmann vs Himeno Sakatsume Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Kathinka von Deichmann	Himeno Sakatsume
Win \| Lose	3 7	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	33%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	85%	100%

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