Rugby

Tennis

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea: our prediction

19/05/2026•12:35

#31

Aleksandar Kovacevic

2:0

6•2

7•6

Finished

#35

Arthur Gea

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Preview — Hamburg European Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic faces Arthur Gea in the first round of the Hamburg European Open. Kovacevic, the underdog according to the odds, has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, but shows great resilience by winning at least one set in 90% of his losses. Gea, the favorite, has a 60% win rate and is particularly effective when favored (70% wins). The match promises to be close, with a tendency to go to 3 sets.

Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability that the match goes to 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Kovacevic tends to play tight matches, and even in defeat, he often wins a set, lengthening the match. Gea, although favored, regularly loses a set, also contributing to a high number of games.

1.83

Confidence

High (65 %)

Victory of Player Arthur Gea

Arthur Gea is the logical favorite with odds of 1.72. He has an overall win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, and 70% when favored. Kovacevic, on the other hand, has only 40% wins and 40% wins as an underdog. Gea seems more solid and consistent, giving him an edge to win the match.

1.73

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Kovacevic has played 70% of his matches in 3 sets (non-Grand Slam), and Gea 50%. Kovacevic shows a strong tendency to push matches to a 3rd set, especially as an underdog (70% of his matches in 3 sets). Gea, although favored, has lost at least one set in 60% of his wins as a favorite. The statistics suggest a tight match that could go to a 3rd set.

2.25

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Aleksandar Kovacevic	Arthur Gea
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	55%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	44%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	57%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	90%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	57%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	42%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	75%	100%

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